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NOAA Slightly Lowers Hurricane Outlook but Warns Season Still Active

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(WDNews) – Two months into the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, federal forecasters are dialing back their predictions — but only slightly.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released its updated outlook Thursday, now calling for 13 to 18 named storms, including five to nine hurricanes. Of those, two to five are expected to become major hurricanes, classified as Category 3 or higher.

That’s a minor downgrade from May’s forecast, which projected up to 19 named storms and up to 10 hurricanes. Officials now say there is a 50% chance of an above-normal season, down from 60%.

This year’s count already includes four named tropical storms.

The Atlantic hurricane season officially runs June 1 to Nov. 30, with peak activity between mid-August and mid-October. On average, a typical season sees 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes.

Despite the revision, officials say there’s still plenty of season left. Acting NOAA Administrator Laura Grimm emphasized the agency’s readiness to respond.

“NOAA stands ready to provide the forecasts and warnings that are vital for safeguarding lives, property, and communities,” Grimm said.

She noted that last year’s outlook was accurate and within predicted ranges.

Residents across the Gulf Coast and Southeast, including the Wiregrass area, are reminded to stay prepared and closely monitor weather updates as the season progresses.

 

 

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